I have seen several basic lists like 2 safety 3-4 target 2-3 reach but, my reaches are places like USC and UVA and Georgia Tech, should I even bother applying? I feel like they are way out of my league and that the hard targets are my actual reaches.
I think while CollegeVine is a pretty good indicator, it doesn't promise anything. If you think one thing like ACT or SAT scores is boosting your chances beyond reason then you might want to be realistic with what is actually "reach." I think you should definitely apply to at least one reach, as well as one hard target and so on according to that basic ratio you gave. For example, most top-tier and Ivy League schools will be a reach for anyone, but if those are your level, then you should apply if you think you will go there if you are admitted. Don't waste time and effort on those harder applications if you don't think there is any chance. If it's your dream school, even if it's a far-fetched dream, and CollegeVine says it's within your "reach" then you should give it a shot!
If you are in the 11th grade your stats shouldn't change to much. Unless you would attend if you were admitted I would skip on them, it saves money and time that would be taken away from the applications to the schools you care about.
You might as well apply to them all just to see if you get in. If they are schools you really want to go to, then do it and take that chance!
Good luck!
Well... I'm not sure why you think your current "reaches" are impossible. Is it because you don't have the stats for them? Or is it something else? I think the CollegeVine Simulator is a good estimate of your chances of getting in, and, if it's somewhere in that 5-20% range, I'd think it's a solid school for your "reach" category.
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