I went from a hard target 41-49% odds on Friday of getting into UVA, down to a reach of 9-17% on Monday, with no changes to my profile.
Looks like it's back to normal now, thanks.
The exact same thing happened to me. I don't know why. My % of chance in different colleges looks like a nightmare now.
Hope someone from CV will explain why this has happened.
Thanks for flagging this! We're aware of the issue and are in the process of fixing it right now. Your profile should see some changes in the next 30-60 minutes. We'll leave a comment when the fix is officially live!
UPDATE: We've fixed the issue for everyone. Please check your chances again and let us know if something looks really off. The chancing algorithm is constantly learning, so you might see a slight change from Friday, but nothing as drastic as you pointed out earlier today. The main scenario where you could see a big difference is if you have 0 extracurricular activities in your profile. If that is the case, I'd recommend adding at a least a few of your most significant extracurriculars to your profile.
We appreciate your patience and thank you again for flagging this as soon as you saw it. Please know that if we plan any major updates/changes to the chancing calculator, we will send out a notice beforehand.
Yeah mine did as well for my dream school. It chances so often I don't know what to believe. In my opinion based on the averages it shows my chances are at a hard target as my GPA is only 0.01% less then it recommends for me and CV can't take essays and demonstrated interest into consideration. Even with my horrible completed via phone application I was accepted into one of their programs for minorities so that has to count for something as well. I wouldn't take it to heart. While it will be harder for our class to get admitted chances are if they would of liked you pre-covid they will like you now.
I think the same happened to me too. My chances were at the acceptance rate for some very highly selective colleges but have now become 1% to [AR]. I think there has been a decrease since more people applied this past year because of the test optional policy and newer data trends due to COVID.
To keep this community safe and supportive:
@Abruns our fix is now live! Please let us know if something still seems off to you.