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Did Anyone Else's Chances Just Change?


I logged into my account just now to find that many of my % chances of admission have changed drastically--this is true on my phone and laptop, and I double checked to ensure that I didn't change my chancing profile. Has the algorithm changed/did the chances change to reflect likely changes with the applicant pool due to COVID, or is there something wrong with my account? The numbers are VERY different, so knowing which set (old or new) and why it changed would be extremely helpful.


3 answers

answered on[edited]
Accepted answer

I looked at my list and some of them did change most of the selective non ivy+ schools moved up Wisc Madison moved up but the 95-99% moved to be 91-95%. I do know CV is trying to slightly revamp their system to better include majors and rigor and if I remember correctly ECs though I’m not sure about ECs.

I don’t know if you missed a button such as leave say you have no SAT or something similiar but it was not a drastic change if anything I’d say it boosted it.

Can you give an example of a change?

If need be email and ask about it.

Hope this helps!

Comment if you need clarification

Edit: My ivy+ schools did not change at all maybe one of them went from 1-4 to 1-5%

My "farthest reach" school went from 3-10% to 38-44% which just seems insane. I'm applying to Ivies/T20s and many of my schools just had crazy jumps. I am a woman going into physics engineering and have pretty high ECs compared to the rest of my stats, but that change just seems completely unreasonable. I've tried changing my major/demographics/stats and changing to back and my chances due change with those chances, but don't go back to my original ones when switched back to my actual stats.
Yeh idk I’d email cv at the link I mentioned
They also could have updated the formula though I would have expected an announcement if that was the case
I did, they're out until the 21st but hopefully it gets sorted. Thanks for the help.
Yeah it's weird for anything that drastic to be possible without an update
Hope my advice helps! :-)
answered on

I'll message CV Support and ask them whether they uploaded new data into the algorithm (that's likely the case). In any case, you should email them as well — it's usually faster to reach them that way than through the forum.

Awesome! Thanks. I did email about my particular situation (they're on vacation for a bit yet, but I'm sure they'll get back to me), I just wanted to see if other users had experienced similar changes or knew, for instance, that there was a new data upload. I'm sure it's completely fine, I just didn't want to email if it was as simple as I missed an update. Thanks for the help!
answered on

Hi @AllyG!

Thank you so much for reaching out about your chances changing. There were a few changes that went through last week to account for COVID's impact on student's ability to take the SATII tests. This means that some students might see increases in their chances because SATII is not as important anymore.

We are trying to keep the algorithm as up-to-date as possible, especially now as things are changing so quickly due to COVID. There may be a few more changes in the coming weeks. We will try our best to notify students ahead of future changes, but please do keep us posted if you are concerned about the changes going forward!

Thanks again!