Am I only good because of my demographics?
Hi, this is my first time posting a question here so I hope everything is alright. MIT is my dream school and I was elated to see that I had a 65-69% chance of acceptance. I referred this website to one of my very smart (Asian) friends and he was upset because he had a much lower chance of acceptance. After we messed around with the site for a bit, we noticed that the demographic stats heavily impacted acceptance rates. When I changed the stats from a Hispanic female to an Asian male, my chances plummeted from 65-69 to 1-3. I consider myself to be a strong applicant, but this was particularly upsetting. Is this a problem with the site? Or was I only given such a flattering score because of these factors? I think the acceptance scores for minorities are very inflated, I shouldn’t have been given such a high chance just because I’m part of an underrepresented group. If someone could tell me what’s up that would be very much appreciated.
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So to be honest compared to other chancing tools collegevine is hands down the best but it definitely has some flaws. With out knowing you and your friends profile I can’t say with certainty what the issue is but yes demographics play a significant part. I’m a white male and at Michigan I have a 15-20% but if I’m black I get a 80-82% chance. (My SAT isn’t good enough for ivies)
So yes demographics play a huge part becuase everything is reviewed in comparison to your demographics. A 1570 SAT might be average for white/Asians at MIT while a 1490 might be average for Latinx and African Americans. So there is definitely a basis for it but I’d agree your chancing is a bit higher personally I’d say it’s more like 40-45% which is phenomenal for MIT but schools with sub 20% admit rate I say never has over a 50% chance.
Also consider MIT 7% admit rate and know that Asians are typically admitted at a much lower rate and have higher scores so 3% seems legit.
If you want more detailed questions email firstname.lastname@example.org as I can’t speak about the chancing tool professionally.
Hope this helps and please comment if you need clarification as I’d be happy to help clarify!