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Should I apply to all top tier schools even if I have a really strong profile?
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Should I apply to safeties or not if I think I have a really good chance of getting into top tier schools. The chancing profile here gives me 60%+ chance of getting into top schools.

safety
IvyLeague
applications

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You should always apply to safety schools regardless of your chances for top tier schools.

Agreed. If you have that high of a chance at the Ivies, you definitely have a very sure bet at your in-state flagship, and some private colleges such as BU, NEU, Reed etc.
Like Adri said always apply to a school you are near garunteed to get in that’s a public school. If you are in MI CA VA NC TX don’t apply to your flagship as a safety
Yea, I agree with them because even though you may have a very strong application, some colleges just deny students randomly, that one admissions officer wasn't having a good day, or they didn't advocate for you enough. So, yes, always apply to a safety school.
There's alternatives to flagships... Michigan (Michigan State), California (UC Davis/San Diego/Santa Barbara), North Carolina (UNC Charlotte), Virginia (Virginia Tech/William and Mary), Texas (UT-Dallas, although UT-Austin is probably a safety if you have those stats, as you'll probably be auto admit.
I meant don’t apply to the flagship apply to an alternate but definitely apply to a instate school or at least a school that you’d be happy attending that is fairly cheap that you are very confident you’ll get in.
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You should always have a variety of different schools that you apply to. I separated my list into three categories to help me think about where I wanted to go. Safety which are schools that you have a very good chance of getting into, sort of like back up schools. Match which are schools that you fit into their profile pretty well and have a pretty good chance of getting in. And reach which are schools that are challenging to get into and you don’t meet much of the criteria but want to try applying anyway. Overall even if you mostly fit the profile, you should still have some backup schools just in case.