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How accurate are the admissions chances calculators on this website?

2
votes
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For example, CollegeVine says to go to school X I have a 50 to 60% chance. Is that completely accurate or is there something they haven't considered? Has anyone here gotten into college already who can testify to the legitimateness of the displayed numbers?

chances
college
collegevine

1 answer

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3
votes

The chancing calculator here is one of the best out there. That being said, there are many factors that it does not consider, like recommendation letters and essays. So of course it is not completely accurate as it is only based on test scores, GPA, course rigor, activities, and demographics. But it is fairly accurate for what it can do. Think of the chances for your schools from this as a baseline that can improve or lower based on other aspects of your application.

I second this answer but at ivy caliber schools such as ivies Rice WuStL UChicago it can be inflated as someone said they had a 60% chance at a sub 10% admit school. Personally I say cap it at 50% but it’s flawed but as the answer says it’s the best available