I've been keeping close tabs on whether competitive colleges are getting more total applications than last year and so far those that have reported indicate this trend is true and continuing.
Tufts is up 12% at 34800 vs 31198 last year.
NYU is up 5% at 105000 vs 100000
Notre Dame is up 12% at 26500 vs 23642
Colgate is up 21% at 21153 vs 17540
UVA is up 6% at 50813 vs 48011
Yale is up 7% at 50022 vs 46905
Bowdoin is up 1% at 9397 vs 9325
Brown is up 9% at 50608 vs 46568
What this implies is that if these school keep the #number of admits constant the admit rates will go down accordingly:
Tufts' 11.4% rate will be 10.2%
NYUs' 12.8% rate will be 12.4%
Notre Dames' 15% rate will be 13.4%
Colgates' 17% rate will be 14.2%
UVAs' 21% rate will be 19.5%
Yales' 4.62% rate will be 4.33%
Bowdoins' 8.8% rate will be 8.7%
Browns' 5.45% rate will be 5%
These are just guesstimates so I'd like to award 20 Karma Points to whomever have something interesting to add. Please take the poll and let me know your knee jerk reaction.
So far it seems like the ED, EA (inc. SCREA) rates are slightly higher because the early pools had fewer applicants. But the trend seems to point the RD pools are going to be very large at top schools this year. This will make RD rates lower and perhaps overall acceptance rates lower. Just a thought.
To keep this community safe and supportive: